Economic Forecast for Baden-Württemberg for the second quarter of 2026: Signs of economic recovery.

Preliminary figures already showed an increase in economic output in the first quarter of 2026. This could be explained by improved export prospects resulting from a relatively stable trade policy environment, as well as by higher order intake in the manufacturing sector. However, timing effects – such as purchases being brought forward or postponed – are also a possibility. However, future GDP growth will be largely determined by trends in energy prices; this is where the greatest uncertainties currently lie.

The IAW and the University of Hohenheim produce the GDP forecast for Baden-Württemberg four times a year. The project is funded by the Baden-Württemberg Ministry of Economic Affairs, Crafts and Tourism.

Contact persons:

Prof. Dr. Bernhard Boockmann, Tel. +497071 9896-20, bernhard.boockmann@iaw.edu

Dr. Karsten Schweikert, Tel. +49711 459-24713, karsten.schweikert@uni-hohenheim.de