Shadow economy to continue slight upward trend in 2026.
The calculations are based on forecasts for GDP and unemployment figures. The average of these forecasts results in a GDP growth rate of 1.2 percent and an unemployment figure of 2.9 million for 2026. An expected inflation rate of 2.0 percent is also included in the calculations.
Contact persons:
Prof. Dr. Friedrich Schneider Tel.: +43 664 3085228 Email: friedrich.schneider@jku.at
Prof. Dr. Bernhard Boockmann Tel.: +49 (0)7071 9896-20 Email: bernhard.boockmann@iaw.edu
IAW_JKU_Schattenwirtschaftsprognose_2026.pdf
IAW_JKU_Schattenwirtschaft_Studie 2026_Methodik_und_Berechnungen.pdf