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Shadow economy to continue slight upward trend in 2026.

The calculations are based on forecasts for GDP and unemployment figures. The average of these forecasts results in a GDP growth rate of 1.2 percent and an unemployment figure of 2.9 million for 2026. An expected inflation rate of 2.0 percent is also included in the calculations.

Contact persons:

Prof. Dr. Friedrich Schneider Tel.: +43 664 3085228 Email: friedrich.schneider@jku.at

Prof. Dr. Bernhard Boockmann Tel.: +49 (0)7071 9896-20 Email: bernhard.boockmann@iaw.edu

IAW_JKU_Schattenwirtschaftsprognose_2026.pdf

IAW_JKU_Schattenwirtschaft_Studie 2026_Methodik_und_Berechnungen.pdf

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Institut für Angewandte Wirtschaftsforschung (IAW) e.V. an der Universität Tübingen

Schaffhausenstr. 73 | 72072 Tübingen | Phone: +49 7071 9896-0 | Email: iaw@iaw.edu

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