Labor market policy

News




Press release February 6, 2019

Still good labor market development leads to further decline in shadow economy in 2019 (in German).

In 2019, the size of the shadow economy in Germany will decrease by around EUR 5 billion. The ratio of the shadow economy to official GDP will thus fall to just over 9 percent. The main reason for this is the continuing good labor market situation, which so far has not been affected by the weaker growth outlook. In addition, lower taxes for the small self-employed make it more worthwhile to register a business.



Publications

Tobias Brändle, Laszlo Goerke

The one constant: a causal effect of collective bargaining on employment growth? Evidence from German linked-employer-employee data.
In: Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2018, 65: 445-478. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12180